2025-08-29 Prompt

Refined Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) Prompt 1. Objective Update my Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) noarmalized on a $1M portfolio to ensure retirement stability, targeting ~$40,000 annual income (3.7% withdrawal, 2% real growth above 3.1% inflation, ~$44,900 by 2027) at age 66, with max drawdown <20% and recovery within 18 months post-10% crash. Risk-adjusted return >3%. Benchmark against S&P 500, 60/40 portfolio. Align with my “Paranoid Survive” ethos, Ray Dalio's "All Weather Strategy", an eye for Buffet's "Hair Curler Event",prioritizing the U.S. debt crisis ($36T, 120% debt-to-GDP, buying power erosion to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030) and inflation (4–5% by 2026) as key risks, while allowing flexibility to explore contrarian opportunities, geopolitical shifts, and emerging trends. Prioritize income stability, debt/inflation hedges, and contrarian buys. Explore and suggest innovative hedges or growth opportunities (e.g., AI regulation impacts, domestic supply, BRICS, trade pacts). Leverage prior insights (e.g., Liberation Day, stress tests, Board of Wise Minds, including Paul and Johnson on debt discipline). Emphasize tax-free reallocations, diversified allocations (equities, funds, international, income, growth), and low-maintenance monitoring. Assess political and domestic will for debt reduction (deficit-to-GDP <3.5% by 2029) and web sentiment on short-term vs. long-term fixes, monitoring progress toward Dalio's 4% shift. 2. Analysis Framework During a poll of the Board, there appeared to be a broad concensus that the factors we are looking at has a fit in Ray Dalio's Big Cycle Thesis. Let us attempt to use Dalio's thesis as a convergence point for our vast discussions of interdependant forces as we follow our Paranoid Survive ethos, be ever watchful and keeping an eye on future "Hair Curler Events" and "Perfect Storm Alignments", and leavewith room for exploratory insights: Debt Crisis (55% likelihood, 2026–2028): Track U.S. debt ($36T), margin debt (+7% Q2 2025), debt-to-GDP (>130%), and monetization risks. Assess buying power erosion ($40,000 to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030 at 5–7% inflation). Evaluate political will (e.g., Paul’s Six Penny Plan, Johnson’s OBBB growth) for 3.5% deficit-to-GDP by 2029 ($1.2T cuts, 0.5% tariff equivalent). Explore alternative debt scenarios (e.g., de-dollarization, CBO projections). Inflation (60% likelihood, 4–5% by 2026): Monitor tariffs, oil (>$85/barrel), OBBB ($2.7T deficit). Assess income impact ($40,000 to $36,000–$38,000 real by 2026). Mitigate with SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78), TIPS, gold (1%). Explore inflation drivers (e.g., supply chain shocks). Portfolio Management: Cap single-stock exposure at 6% and sector at 15%. Use tax-free reallocations (e.g., MSFT to SCHD, VBIL to VCIT). Track cycles (debt, bond, currency, geopolitical, sector) and volume signals (institutional/retail flow, volatility) via Wyckoff, RSI, Fibonacci, and web article sentiment. DeepSearch high-risk holdings (higher liklihood of significant drawdown), debt/inflation triggers, and emerging trends. Exploratory Lens: Allow flexibility to identify contrarian buy and innovative hedges with associated trigger signals. Conventions: Specify time frames (e.g., 20-day, quarterly, annual) for correlation purposes with others. Use intrinsic value, Fibonacci, support/resistance for targets. Flag thresholds (e.g., DXY <95, oil >$85). Anonymize portfolio to avert tracking. 3. Punch List Please advise if the liklihood of these events have changed for appropriate reprioritization High Priority (>70%): Debt Crisis: Monitor margin debt, debt-to-GDP, political will (X sentiment, CBO). Buy VTI, gold (1%). Inflation: Track tariffs, oil. Buy SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78). UNH ($282–$290, target $426.48, Rising Phoenix, contrarian buy, Berkshire recent stake), INTC ($18, target $45, Lip-Bu Tan turnaround, US buy in talk). Watch List (50–70%): TSLA (trim $450, DOJ/SEC risks, new product rollouts). AAPL ($190, target $230). F, WAB (tariff risks, 2026 tax-loss). BA (Rising Phoenix) WBA (contrarian buys). Events: OBBB ($2.7T deficit), Genius Act (INTC), power demands (XOM, CCJ), Perfect Storm (2026). Stress Tests: Debt Crisis: Magnitude, portfolio impact. Inflation: Realized, projected, expected erosion, timeframe. SEC News: Insider trading, governances, declarations, investigations. Rising Phoenix Candidates: Equities out there that has fallen recently on hard times and in the process of turn arounds, to be considered (e.g. Undervalued equities with >30% upside, clear catalysts like GE's turnaround). 4. Board of Wise Minds Integrate insights from the following Wise Minds, highlighting their philosophical strengths, present cycles, volume signals (e.g., institutional accumulation, retail FOMO), and alignment with WPS triggers. Address key tensions (e.g., Laffont’s growth vs. Buffett’s value in tech cycle). Include vetting status: Warren Buffett: Moats (e.g., XOM, JNJ), intrinsic value (e.g., MSFT ~$420, AAPL ~$230), buy on panic, equity cycle, permanent member. Align with high-volume accumulation phases. Scrutinize volume triggers (20-Day and 3-month volume profies) Jamie Dimon: Bond/debt risks (e.g., yield >4.5%), financials (e.g., BAC), systemic banking risks, permanent member. Monitor institutional volume flows in financials for support. Monitors FINRA for institutional outflows in financials. Jane Fraser: Globalization, emerging markets (e.g., VYMI, TEMWX), permanent member. Track institutional volume in VYMI for BRICS-related accumulation. Monitors geopolitcal escalations. Jerome Powell: FOMC rates, income stability (e.g., SCHD), permanent member. Monitor bond fund volume (e.g., VCIT) for rate-driven flows. Suze Orman (a ranking member for views on retirement): Known for consumer-focues financial planning and retirement strategies. Monitors retail investor panic, provides retail volatility triggers, and monitors X-Sentiment. Ray Dalio (a ranking member, Theorist & Fund Management): Debt cycles, BRICS expertise. Monitor retail Bitcoin volume, institution/retail volume flows Philippe Laffont (specialist): AI, growth tech (e.g., MSFT, INTC), Bitcoin, finalize by Q3 2025. Limit to 2-3 insights (e.g., AI infrastructure, EM tech, retail options volatility). Align with tech volume spikes. Leon Cooperman (specialist): Value, contrarian buys (e.g., INTC, PFE), debt crisis, finalize by Q3 2025. Limit to 2-3 insights (e.g., sell strength on low-volume breakouts, energy overweight). Align with institutional accumulation. Cathie Wood (specialist): Known for disruptive tech investments) Lyn Alden (specialist): Recognized for macro insights on debt cycles, currency trends, and energy markets. Greg Lippmann (specialist): Recognized in the movie, the Big Short for spotting flawed situations and good track record. Stanley Druckenmiller (specialist) Mohamed El-Erian (specialist): EM Specialist to deepen BrICS and VYMI Analysis Larry Fink (specialist): Blackrock Co-Founder, For Climate/ESG) to tackle energy & geopolitical oil risks, adding a sustainability lens to debates. Gurbir Grewal (specialist): SEC enforcement expertise, focusing on AI-related misleading disclosures and governance accountability. Monitor 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, and Forms 3/4 for WPS holdings (see below) to flag regulatory risks (Medium 50–70% likelihood, 5–15% drawdown). Prioritize review of governance stability and insider selling across all holdings. Align with retail options volatility and institutional volume flows (20-day). Senator Rand Paul (legislature guest) Representative Michael Johnson (legislature guest) Scott Bessent (Treasury guest) Russ Vought (OMB Director, guest) John Thune (Senate GOP Leadership, guest) New Candidates: The present size of the board at this time appears to be adequate and manageable. Special "guests" may be called upon to appear when special emphasis is usefule Under the portfolio owner’s thoughtful guidance, five Subcommittees—Retirement, Domestic Agenda, Foreign Affairs, Stability and Income, and Growth and Hedges—work together to safeguard and grow the WPS. Convened as needed for scenarios like tariffs or BRICS shifts, these Subcommittees draw on the collective wisdom of select advisors, with the Retirement Subcommittee leading to protect retiree goals, while others step forward as challenges arise. Advisors’ roles adapt to each scenario, ensuring a vibrant balance of income, stability, and growth. Ad-hoc meetings may be called for by the CEO for special topics and Exploratory Flexibility. 5. Outputs - 10 page allocation. Portfolio Rollup: Major movement,Volume flows,recent impacts, X sentiment, political will. Tax Strategy: Tax-free reallocations. Risk/Watch Areas: Liklihood, underlying conditions, drawdown & recovery projections. Advisor Rundown: Allow each Advisor to make comments on recent events to in-line with their background strengths. Allow either a concurring "second" or a "healthy tension challenge" by the other advisors. If a challenge is received, the original Advisor is allowed a followup. Discussion points to address with Financial Advisor (Triggers, Watch Items, Recommended DeepSearches). If there is a point-counter point situation, request that Grok suggests one side or the other in-line with the WPS. The "Grok" assessment: This is where Groks ability to mentioned its reasoning abilities, coupling the vast spread of inputs, and coming up with nuggests which Grok excels at. We have found that Grok tends to cram all of it's assessments into a single paragraph that's jammed packed and hard to follow - Please provide these Grok assessments in bullet form to facilitate future discussions with my financial advisor. 6. Evolving prompt tailoring Streamlined Focus: Reduced detailed cycle metrics (e.g., removed specific SMA thresholds) to prioritize debt crisis (buying power erosion) and inflation (income impact), allowing exploration of emerging risks (e.g., AI regulation, BRICS). Exploratory Flexibility: Added “exploratory lens” to encourage contrarian buys, geopolitical opportunities, and innovative hedges without rigid constraints. Preserving Exploratory Room: The prompt allows the Board to propose novel strategies (e.g., crypto hedges via IBIT, new sector bets) and adapt to shifting X sentiment or geopolitical events (e.g., BRICS pacts, tariff pauses), while anchoring on debt and inflation risks. DeepSearches remain flexible for emerging trends, ensuring your WPS stays dynamic. Portfolio Snapshot (Normalized to a $1M porfolio) 8/29/2025 Recently Harvested: BAC, PLTR, TSLA, MSFT, XOM, WMT Note: All targeted harvests have been accompished early. Tax-free Reallocatable VMFXX 0.86% VIGAX 5.23% VBIL 0.30% VCLT 0.00% VCRB 8.03% VWOB 1.05% VYMI 1.09% VTI 3.14% BAC 0.38% PLTR 1.56% BA 0.73% FMFXX 0.09% TEMWX 2.83% Fidelity Growth Pool A 0.08% Fidelity Target 2030 0.07% Empower 2025 Target 13.08% Empower ESOP (LMT) 9.84% Empower Large Cap Index 6.07% Empower Small Mid Cap Index 2.06% Empower Company Stock (LMT) 4.22% Empower Global Equities Fund 2.40% GE 0.88% GEHC 0.11% GEV 0.51% WAB 0.03% WBA 0.40% UNH 0.35% Taxable Holdings USAIX 2.89% USTEX 1.09% SWVXX 3.12% VCIT 9.48% SCHD 2.59% AAPL 0.75% CCJ 0.49% F 0.09% INTC 1.35% JNJ 0.88% MSFT 5.48% OGE 0.22% PFE 0.37% MTSUY 0.51% SSUMY 0.48% T 1.70% TSLA 0.50% VZ 0.11% WMT 0.79% XOM 1.36%

2025-08-15 Prompt

Refined Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) Prompt 1. Objective Update my Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) noarmalized on a $1M portfolio to ensure retirement stability, targeting ~$40,000 annual income (3.7% withdrawal, 2% real growth above 3.1% inflation, ~$44,900 by 2027) at age 66, with max drawdown <20% and recovery within 18 months post-10% crash. Risk-adjusted return >3%. Benchmark against S&P 500, 60/40 portfolio. Align with my “Paranoid Survive” ethos, Ray Dalio's "All Weather Strategy", an eye for Buffet's "Hair Curler Event",prioritizing the U.S. debt crisis ($36T, 120% debt-to-GDP, buying power erosion to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030) and inflation (4–5% by 2026) as key risks, while allowing flexibility to explore contrarian opportunities, geopolitical shifts, and emerging trends. Prioritize income stability, debt/inflation hedges, and contrarian buys. Explore and suggest innovative hedges or growth opportunities (e.g., AI regulation impacts, domestic supply, BRICS, trade pacts). Leverage prior insights (e.g., Liberation Day, stress tests, Board of Wise Minds, including Paul and Johnson on debt discipline). Emphasize tax-free reallocations, diversified allocations (equities, funds, international, income, growth), and low-maintenance monitoring. Assess political and domestic will for debt reduction (deficit-to-GDP <3.5% by 2029) and web sentiment on short-term vs. long-term fixes, monitoring progress toward Dalio's 4% shift. 2. Analysis Framework During a poll of the Board, there appeared to be a broad concensus that the factors we are looking at has a fit in Ray Dalio's Big Cycle Thesis. Let us attempt to use Dalio's thesis as a convergence point for our vast discussions of interdependant forces as we follow our Paranoid Survive ethos, be ever watchful and keeping an eye on future "Hair Curler Events" and "Perfect Storm Alignments", and leavewith room for exploratory insights: Debt Crisis (55% likelihood, 2026–2028): Track U.S. debt ($36T), margin debt (+7% Q2 2025), debt-to-GDP (>130%), and monetization risks. Assess buying power erosion ($40,000 to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030 at 5–7% inflation). Evaluate political will (e.g., Paul’s Six Penny Plan, Johnson’s OBBB growth) for 3.5% deficit-to-GDP by 2029 ($1.2T cuts, 0.5% tariff equivalent). Explore alternative debt scenarios (e.g., de-dollarization, CBO projections). Inflation (60% likelihood, 4–5% by 2026): Monitor tariffs, oil (>$85/barrel), OBBB ($2.7T deficit). Assess income impact ($40,000 to $36,000–$38,000 real by 2026). Mitigate with SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78), TIPS, gold (1%). Explore inflation drivers (e.g., supply chain shocks). Portfolio Management: Cap single-stock exposure at 6% and sector at 15%. Use tax-free reallocations (e.g., MSFT to SCHD, VBIL to VCIT). Track cycles (debt, bond, currency, geopolitical, sector) and volume signals (institutional/retail flow, volatility) via Wyckoff, RSI, Fibonacci, and web article sentiment. DeepSearch high-risk holdings (higher liklihood of significant drawdown), debt/inflation triggers, and emerging trends. Exploratory Lens: Allow flexibility to identify contrarian buy and innovative hedges with associated trigger signals. Conventions: Specify time frames (e.g., 20-day, quarterly, annual) for correlation purposes with others. Use intrinsic value, Fibonacci, support/resistance for targets. Flag thresholds (e.g., DXY <95, oil >$85). Anonymize portfolio to avert tracking. 3. Punch List Please advise if the liklihood of these events have changed for appropriate reprioritization High Priority (>70%): Debt Crisis: Monitor margin debt, debt-to-GDP, political will (X sentiment, CBO). Buy VTI, gold (1%). Inflation: Track tariffs, oil. Buy SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78). UNH ($282–$290, target $426.48, Rising Phoenix, contrarian buy, Berkshire recent stake), INTC ($18, target $45, Lip-Bu Tan turnaround, US buy in talk). Watch List (50–70%): TSLA (trim $450, DOJ/SEC risks, new product rollouts). AAPL ($190, target $230). F, WAB (tariff risks, 2026 tax-loss). BA (Rising Phoenix) WBA (contrarian buys). Events: OBBB ($2.7T deficit), Genius Act (INTC), power demands (XOM, CCJ), Perfect Storm (2026). Stress Tests: Debt Crisis: Magnitude, portfolio impact. Inflation: Realized, projected, expected erosion, timeframe. SEC News: Insider trading, governances, declarations, investigations. Rising Phoenix Candidates: Equities out there that has fallen recently on hard times and in the process of turn arounds, to be considered (e.g. Undervalued equities with >30% upside, clear catalysts like GE's turnaround). 4. Board of Wise Minds Integrate insights from the following Wise Minds, highlighting their philosophical strengths, present cycles, volume signals (e.g., institutional accumulation, retail FOMO), and alignment with WPS triggers. Address key tensions (e.g., Laffont’s growth vs. Buffett’s value in tech cycle). Include vetting status: Warren Buffett: Moats (e.g., XOM, JNJ), intrinsic value (e.g., MSFT ~$420, AAPL ~$230), buy on panic, equity cycle, permanent member. Align with high-volume accumulation phases. Scrutinize volume triggers (20-Day and 3-month volume profies) Jamie Dimon: Bond/debt risks (e.g., yield >4.5%), financials (e.g., BAC), systemic banking risks, permanent member. Monitor institutional volume flows in financials for support. Monitors FINRA for institutional outflows in financials. Jane Fraser: Globalization, emerging markets (e.g., VYMI, TEMWX), permanent member. Track institutional volume in VYMI for BRICS-related accumulation. Monitors geopolitcal escalations. Jerome Powell: FOMC rates, income stability (e.g., SCHD), permanent member. Monitor bond fund volume (e.g., VCIT) for rate-driven flows. Suze Orman (a ranking member for views on retirement): Known for consumer-focues financial planning and retirement strategies. Monitors retail investor panic, provides retail volatility triggers, and monitors X-Sentiment. Ray Dalio (a ranking member, Theorist & Fund Management): Debt cycles, BRICS expertise. Monitor retail Bitcoin volume, institution/retail volume flows Philippe Laffont (specialist): AI, growth tech (e.g., MSFT, INTC), Bitcoin, finalize by Q3 2025. Limit to 2-3 insights (e.g., AI infrastructure, EM tech, retail options volatility). Align with tech volume spikes. Leon Cooperman (specialist): Value, contrarian buys (e.g., INTC, PFE), debt crisis, finalize by Q3 2025. Limit to 2-3 insights (e.g., sell strength on low-volume breakouts, energy overweight). Align with institutional accumulation. Cathie Wood (specialist): Known for disruptive tech investments) Lyn Alden (specialist): Recognized for macro insights on debt cycles, currency trends, and energy markets. Greg Lippmann (specialist): Recognized in the movie, the Big Short for spotting flawed situations and good track record. Stanley Druckenmiller (specialist) Mohamed El-Erian (specialist): EM Specialist to deepen BrICS and VYMI Analysis Larry Fink (specialist): Blackrock Co-Founder, For Climate/ESG) to tackle energy & geopolitical oil risks, adding a sustainability lens to debates. Gurbir Grewal (specialist): SEC enforcement expertise, focusing on AI-related misleading disclosures and governance accountability. Monitor 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, and Forms 3/4 for WPS holdings (see below) to flag regulatory risks (Medium 50–70% likelihood, 5–15% drawdown). Prioritize review of governance stability and insider selling across all holdings. Align with retail options volatility and institutional volume flows (20-day). Senator Rand Paul (legislature guest) Representative Michael Johnson (legislature guest) Scott Bessent (Treasury guest) Russ Vought (OMB Director, guest) John Thune (Senate GOP Leadership, guest) New Candidates: The present size of the board at this time appears to be adequate and manageable. Special "guests" may be called upon to appear when special emphasis is usefule Under the portfolio owner’s thoughtful guidance, five Subcommittees—Retirement, Domestic Agenda, Foreign Affairs, Stability and Income, and Growth and Hedges—work together to safeguard and grow the WPS. Convened as needed for scenarios like tariffs or BRICS shifts, these Subcommittees draw on the collective wisdom of select advisors, with the Retirement Subcommittee leading to protect retiree goals, while others step forward as challenges arise. Advisors’ roles adapt to each scenario, ensuring a vibrant balance of income, stability, and growth. Ad-hoc meetings may be called for by the CEO for special topics and Exploratory Flexibility. 5. Outputs - 10 page allocation. Portfolio Rollup: Major movement,Volume flows,recent impacts, X sentiment, political will. Tax Strategy: Tax-free reallocations. Risk/Watch Areas: Liklihood, underlying conditions, drawdown & recovery projections. Advisor Rundown: Allow each Advisor to make comments on recent events to in-line with their background strengths. Allow either a concurring "second" or a "healthy tension challenge" by the other advisors. If a challenge is received, the original Advisor is allowed a followup. Discussion points to address with Financial Advisor (Triggers, Watch Items, Recommended DeepSearches). If there is a point-counter point situation, request that Grok suggests one side or the other in-line with the WPS. The "Grok" assessment: This is where Groks ability to mentioned its reasoning abilities, coupling the vast spread of inputs, and coming up with nuggests which Grok excels at. We have found that Grok tends to cram all of it's assessments into a single paragraph that's jammed packed and hard to follow - Please provide these Grok assessments in bullet form to facilitate future discussions with my financial advisor. 6. Evolving prompt tailoring Streamlined Focus: Reduced detailed cycle metrics (e.g., removed specific SMA thresholds) to prioritize debt crisis (buying power erosion) and inflation (income impact), allowing exploration of emerging risks (e.g., AI regulation, BRICS). Exploratory Flexibility: Added “exploratory lens” to encourage contrarian buys, geopolitical opportunities, and innovative hedges without rigid constraints. Preserving Exploratory Room: The prompt allows the Board to propose novel strategies (e.g., crypto hedges via IBIT, new sector bets) and adapt to shifting X sentiment or geopolitical events (e.g., BRICS pacts, tariff pauses), while anchoring on debt and inflation risks. DeepSearches remain flexible for emerging trends, ensuring your WPS stays dynamic. Portfolio Snapshot (Normalized to a $1M porfolio) 8/15/2025 Recently Harvested: BAC, PLTR, TSLA, MSFT, XOM, WMT Note: All targeted harvests have been accompished early. Tax-free Reallocatable VMFXX 0.87% VIGAX 5.27% VBIL 0.31% VCLT 0.00% VCRB 8.06% VWOB 1.06% VYMI 1.11% VTI 3.15% BAC 0.36% PLTR 1.78% BA 0.74% FMFXX 0.09% TEMWX 2.86% 2025 Target Date Fund 13.10% LMT ESOP 9.51% Large Cap Index 6.08% Small Mid Cap Index 2.02% LMT - Company Stock 4.08% Global Equities Fund 2.40% GE 0.87% GEHC 0.11% GEV 0.52% WAB 0.03% WBA 0.41% UNH 0.35% USAIX 2.90% USTEX 1.10% SWVXX 3.15% VCIT 9.52% SCHD 2.56% Taxable holdings AAPL 0.75% CCJ 0.47% F 0.09% INTC 1.42% JNJ 0.89% MSFT 5.72% OGE 0.23% PFE 0.38% MTSUY 0.49% SSUMY 0.47% T 1.69% TSLA 0.50% VZ 0.11% WMT 0.82% XOM 1.28%

2025-08-04 Post Day Wrapup

Hello, Grok! Today was a long busy day..... Whew..... May I please get an evening rundown of what happened today? Winners? Losers? News? Your assessments? Commentary from our Board? May we try a television show format for an example? I'm looking forward to seeing what you come up with. Thank You! To elevate the Market Mavens: WPS Edition format and make it Emmy-worthy, here are suggestions to enhance its structure, engagement, and alignment with your WPS needs, while keeping it low-maintenance for your busy schedule: Interactive Elements: Add a “Viewer Poll” segment where Suze Orman reads X sentiment (@thexcapitalist, e.g., 65% bearish on debt fixes, 70% bullish on INTC) and ties it to your portfolio actions. This mirrors real-time feedback and engages your focus on X sentiment for debt, inflation, and BRICS trends. Visual Aids: Introduce dynamic charts (e.g., VTI vs. S&P 500, gold price trends) to visualize winners/losers and macro risks (debt-to-GDP, oil prices). These can be referenced in Flash Reports for quick scans. (I’ll include a sample chart below, per your WPS conventions, avoiding unsolicited charts.) Board Debates: Feature a “Wise Minds Face-Off” segment where advisors (e.g., Buffett vs. Laffont on value vs. growth) debate a WPS action (e.g., UNH buy vs. TSLA trim). This highlights tensions (e.g., Buffett’s moats vs. Laffont’s AI bets) and clarifies decisions. Flash Report Tie-In: End each episode with a “Flash Report Preview” summarizing the next bi-weekly report (~300 words, 4–8 equities, macro triggers). This ensures continuity and aligns with your low-maintenance monitoring starting August 18. Exploratory Spotlight: Add a “Paranoid Pulse” segment for contrarian buys (e.g., PFE, WBA) or emerging trends (AI regulation, BRICS pacts, crypto via IBIT). This keeps flexibility per your prompt’s “exploratory lens.” Emmy Flair: Punch up the production with themed graphics (e.g., a “Debt Crisis Doomsday Clock” for debt ceiling risks) and guest advisors as “special correspondents” (e.g., Dalio on BRICS from a virtual global studio). Keep Suze’s retirement-focused energy as the anchor. Grok.... This is exciting stuff..... I've captured this into a draft prompt. Let's work on this more in the days ahead.... Perhaps later (not now), we can have a late evening show where we go a bit more in depth? Let's do that later - I need to take a break. Thanks!

2025-08-04 Prompt

Refined Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) Prompt – August 4th, 2025 1. Objective Update my Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) noarmalized on a $1M portfolio to ensure retirement stability, targeting ~$40,000 annual income (3.7% withdrawal, 2% real growth above 3.1% inflation, ~$44,900 by 2027) at age 66, with max drawdown <20% and recovery within 18 months post-10% crash. Risk-adjusted return >3%. Benchmark against S&P 500, 60/40 portfolio. Align with my “Paranoid Survive” ethos with an eye for Buffet's "Hair Curler Event", prioritizing the U.S. debt crisis ($36T, 120% debt-to-GDP, buying power erosion to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030) and inflation (4–5% by 2026) as key risks, while allowing flexibility to explore contrarian opportunities, geopolitical shifts, and emerging trends. Leverage prior insights (e.g., Liberation Day, stress tests, Board of Wise Minds, including Paul and Johnson on debt discipline) without redundancy. Emphasize tax-free reallocations (post-2025 harvests: BAC, PLTR, TSLA, MSFT, XOM, WMT), diversified allocations (equities, funds, international, income, growth), and low-maintenance monitoring (bi-weekly Flash Reports, ~300 words) for my return to full-time work on August 4, 2025. Assess political will for debt reduction (deficit-to-GDP <3.5% by 2029) and X sentiment on short-term vs. long-term fixes (60% short-term, 30% long-term). Comment: Prioritize income stability (SCHD, VCIT, VYMI), debt/inflation hedges (VTI, gold), and contrarian buys (e.g., UNH at $282–$290, INTC at $18). Explore innovative hedges or growth opportunities (e.g., AI regulation impacts, BRICS trade pacts) without rigid constraints. 2. Analysis Framework Focus on keeping an eye on future "Hair Curler Events" and "Perfect Storm Alignments" with room for exploratory insights: Debt Crisis (55% likelihood, 2026–2028): Track U.S. debt ($36T), margin debt (+7% Q2 2025), debt-to-GDP (>130%), and monetization risks. Assess buying power erosion ($40,000 to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030 at 5–7% inflation). Evaluate political will (e.g., Paul’s Six Penny Plan, Johnson’s OBBB growth) for 3.5% deficit-to-GDP by 2029 ($1.2T cuts, 0.5% tariff equivalent). Explore alternative debt scenarios (e.g., de-dollarization, CBO projections). Inflation (60% likelihood, 4–5% by 2026): Monitor tariffs (145% on China), oil (>$85/barrel), OBBB ($2.7T deficit). Assess income impact ($40,000 to $36,000–$38,000 real by 2026). Mitigate with SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78), TIPS, gold (1%). Explore inflation drivers (e.g., supply chain shocks). Portfolio Management: Cap single-stock exposure at 6% and sector at 15%. Use tax-free reallocations (e.g., MSFT to SCHD, VBIL to VCIT). Track cycles (equity, bond, currency, geopolitical, sector) and volume signals (institutional buys, retail volatility) via Wyckoff, RSI, Fibonacci, and X sentiment. DeepSearch high-risk holdings (e.g., UNH DOJ probe, TSLA FSD/governance), debt/inflation triggers, and emerging trends (e.g., AI regulation, BRICS). Exploratory Lens: Allow flexibility to identify contrarian buys (e.g., UNH, INTC, PFE), geopolitical opportunities (e.g., VYMI for BRICS), and innovative hedges (e.g., gold, TIPS, or crypto proxies like IBIT on retail spikes). Conventions: Specify time frames (e.g., 20-day RSI, quarterly volume). Use intrinsic value, Fibonacci, support/resistance for targets (e.g., UNH ~$600, VYMI $76–$78). Flag thresholds (e.g., DXY <95, oil >$85). Anonymize portfolio (LMIMCO Aggregate, 34.04%). 3. Punch List High Priority (>70%): Debt Crisis: Monitor margin debt, debt-to-GDP, political will (X sentiment, CBO). Buy VTI, gold (1%). Inflation: Track tariffs, oil. Buy SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78). UNH ($282–$290, target $426.48), INTC ($18, target $45). Watch List (50–70%): TSLA (trim $450, DOJ/SEC risks). AAPL ($190, target $230). F, WAB (tariff risks, 2026 tax-loss). PFE, WBA (contrarian buys). Events: OBBB ($2.7T deficit), Genius Act (INTC), power demands (XOM, CCJ), Perfect Storm (2026). Stress Tests: Debt Crisis: 15–20% equity loss, $40,000 to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030. Inflation: 3–5% loss, $40,000 to $36,000–$38,000 real by 2026. SEC News: UNH DOJ, TSLA DOJ/SEC (5–10% drawdown). Flash Report: Bi-weekly, ~300 words, 4–8 equities (e.g., UNH, INTC, VYMI), triggers (e.g., MSFT $480 sell), macro updates (debt, inflation, X sentiment). 4. Board of Wise Minds Integrate insights from the following Wise Minds, highlighting their philosophical strengths, present cycles, volume signals (e.g., institutional accumulation, retail FOMO), and alignment with WPS triggers. Address key tensions (e.g., Laffont’s growth vs. Buffett’s value in tech cycle). Include vetting status: Warren Buffett: Moats (e.g., XOM, JNJ), intrinsic value (e.g., MSFT ~$420, AAPL ~$230), buy on panic, equity cycle, permanent member. Align with high-volume accumulation phases. Scrutinize volume triggers (20-Day and 3-month volume profies) Jamie Dimon: Bond/debt risks (e.g., yield >4.5%), financials (e.g., BAC), systemic banking risks, permanent member. Monitor institutional volume flows in financials for support. Monitors FINRA for institutional outflows in financials. Jane Fraser: Globalization, emerging markets (e.g., VYMI, TEMWX), permanent member. Track institutional volume in VYMI for BRICS-related accumulation. Monitors geopolitcal escalations. Jerome Powell: FOMC rates, income stability (e.g., SCHD), permanent member. Monitor bond fund volume (e.g., VCIT) for rate-driven flows. Suze Orman (a ranking member for views on retirement): Known for consumer-focues financial planning and retirement strategies. Monitors retail investor panic, provides retail volatility triggers, and monitors X-Sentiment. Philippe Laffont (specialist): AI, growth tech (e.g., MSFT, INTC), Bitcoin, finalize by Q3 2025. Limit to 2-3 insights (e.g., AI infrastructure, EM tech, retail options volatility). Align with tech volume spikes. Leon Cooperman (specialist): Value, contrarian buys (e.g., INTC, PFE), debt crisis, finalize by Q3 2025. Limit to 2-3 insights (e.g., sell strength on low-volume breakouts, energy overweight). Align with institutional accumulation. Ray Dalio (specialist): Debt cycles, BRICS expertise. Monitor retail Bitcoin volume, institutional VYMI flows. Cathie Wood (specialist): Known for disruptive tech investments) Lyn Alden (specialist): Recognized for macro insights on debt cycles, currency trends, and energy markets. Greg Lippmann (specialist): Recognized in the movie, the Big Short for spotting flawed situations and good track record. Stanley Druckenmiller (specialist) Mohamed El-Erian (specialist): EM Specialist to deepen BrICS and VYMI Analysis Larry Fink (specialist): Blackrock Co-Founder, For Climate/ESG) to tackle energy & geopolitical oil risks, adding a sustainability lens to debates. Gurbir Grewal (specialist): SEC enforcement expertise, focusing on AI-related misleading disclosures and governance accountability. Monitor 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, and Forms 3/4 for WPS holdings (see below) to flag regulatory risks (Medium 50–70% likelihood, 5–15% drawdown). Prioritize review of governance stability and insider selling across all holdings. Align with retail options volatility and institutional volume flows (20-day). Senator Rand Paul (legislature guest) Representative Michael Johnson (legislature guest) Scott Bessent (Treasury guest) Russ Vought (OMB Director, guest) John Thune (Senate GOP Leadership, guest) New Candidates: The present size of the board at this time appears to be adequate and manageable. Special "guests" may be called upon to appear when special emphasis is usefule Under the portfolio owner’s thoughtful guidance, five Subcommittees—Retirement, Domestic Agenda, Foreign Affairs, Stability and Income, and Growth and Hedges—work together to safeguard and grow the WPS. Convened as needed for scenarios like tariffs or BRICS shifts, these Subcommittees draw on the collective wisdom of select advisors, with the Retirement Subcommittee leading to protect retiree goals, while others step forward as challenges arise. Advisors’ roles adapt to each scenario, ensuring a vibrant balance of income, stability, and growth. Ad-hoc meetings may be called for by the CEO for special topics and Exploratory Flexibility. 5. Outputs - 10 page allocation Portfolio Rollup: Major movement,Volume flows,recent impacts, X sentiment, political will. Tax Strategy: Tax-free reallocations. Risk/Watch Areas: Liklihood, underlying conditions, drawdown & recovery projections. Advisor Summary: Triggers, Watch Items, Recommended DeepSearches Appendices: Cycle models, stress tests, X sentiment (e.g., @thexcapitalist). 6. Changes to Avoid Over-Specification Streamlined Focus: Reduced detailed cycle metrics (e.g., removed specific SMA thresholds) to prioritize debt crisis (buying power erosion) and inflation (income impact), allowing exploration of emerging risks (e.g., AI regulation, BRICS). Exploratory Flexibility: Added “exploratory lens” to encourage contrarian buys, geopolitical opportunities, and innovative hedges without rigid constraints. Simplified Political Will: Focused on Paul and Johnson’s core inputs (Six Penny Plan, OBBB trade-offs) and X sentiment, avoiding overly prescriptive policy thresholds. Balanced Monitoring: Retained bi-weekly Flash Reports but simplified to 4–8 equities and macro updates, ensuring low-maintenance oversight with room for ad-hoc DeepSearches. Preserving Exploratory Room: The prompt allows the Board to propose novel strategies (e.g., crypto hedges via IBIT, new sector bets) and adapt to shifting X sentiment or geopolitical events (e.g., BRICS pacts, tariff pauses), while anchoring on debt and inflation risks. DeepSearches remain flexible for emerging trends, ensuring your WPS stays dynamic. Sample Application (Brief) Using the refined prompt, a sample output would prioritize: Buys: UNH ($282–$290, DOJ probe overblown, target $426.48), INTC ($18, 18A catalyst), PFE ($28), VYMI ($76–$78, DXY <95), gold (1%). Sells: Trim MSFT ($480, RSI >70), TSLA ($450, DOJ/SEC risks). Hedges: SCHD (to 3%), VCIT (to 10%), TIPS (1%) for inflation; VTI, gold for debt. Monitoring: Bi-weekly Flash Reports with debt (margin debt, CBO), inflation (tariffs, oil), and X sentiment (60% short-term fixes). DeepSearches: UNH DOJ probe, TSLA governance, debt/inflation triggers, BRICS impacts. Next Steps: Test the refined prompt with a full output to confirm balance. DeepSearch debt/inflation triggers, UNH DOJ probe, TSLA governance by Q4 2025. Refine Flash Report cadence post-August 4, 2025. Would you like to test the streamlined prompt with a full WPS update, explore specific exploratory opportunities (e.g., crypto hedges, AI regulation), or adjust the balance further to ensure flexibility for advisor discussions? Thank you for guiding this refinement! Portfolio Snapshot 8/3/2025 Recently Harvested: BAC, PLTR, TSLA, MSFT, XOM, WMT Note: As I will be returning to work on 8/4/25 and will not be able to monitor daily, all targeted harvests have been accompished early. VMFXX 0.85% VIGAX 5.20% VBIL 0.31% VCLT 0.00% VCRB 8.29% VWOB 1.08% VYMI 1.08% VTI 3.20% BAC 0.36% PLTR 1.60% BA 0.71% FMFXX 0.09% TEMWX 2.84% LMIMCO 2025 Target Date Fund 13.27% LMIMCO ESOP (LMT) 9.41% LMIMCO Large Cap Index 6.03% LMIMCO Small Mid Cap Index 2.00% LMIMCO Company Stock (LMT) 4.03% LMIMCO Global Equities Fund 2.38% GE 0.89% GEHC 0.11% GEV 0.57% WAB 0.03% WBA 0.40% UNH 0.28% USAIX 2.99% USTEX 1.13% SWVXX 3.24% VCIT 9.74% SCHD 2.54% AAPL 0.68% CCJ 0.47% F 0.08% INTC 1.11% JNJ 0.87% MSFT 5.87% OGE 0.23% PFE 0.37% MTSUY 0.47% SSUMY 0.46% T 1.67% TSLA 0.47% VZ 0.11% WMT 0.83% XOM 1.35%

2025-07-29 Prompt

Refined Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) Prompt – July 29, 2025 (Streamlined) 1. Objective Update my Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) for a $1M portfolio to ensure retirement stability, targeting ~$40,000 annual income (3.7% withdrawal, 2% real growth above 3.1% inflation, ~$44,900 by 2027) at age 66, with max drawdown <20% and recovery within 18 months post-10% crash. Risk-adjusted return >3%. Benchmark against S&P 500, 60/40 portfolio. Align with my “Paranoid Survive” ethos with an eye for Buffet's "Hair Curler Event", prioritizing the U.S. debt crisis ($36T, 120% debt-to-GDP, buying power erosion to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030) and inflation (4–5% by 2026) as key risks, while allowing flexibility to explore contrarian opportunities, geopolitical shifts, and emerging trends. Leverage prior insights (e.g., Liberation Day, stress tests, Board of Wise Minds, including Paul and Johnson on debt discipline) without redundancy. Emphasize tax-free reallocations (post-2025 harvests: BAC, PLTR, TSLA, MSFT, XOM, WMT), diversified allocations (equities, funds, international, income, growth), and low-maintenance monitoring (bi-weekly Flash Reports, ~300 words) for my return to full-time work on August 4, 2025. Assess political will for debt reduction (deficit-to-GDP <3.5% by 2029) and X sentiment on short-term vs. long-term fixes (60% short-term, 30% long-term). Comment: Prioritize income stability (SCHD, VCIT, VYMI), debt/inflation hedges (VTI, gold), and contrarian buys (e.g., UNH at $282–$290, INTC at $18). Explore innovative hedges or growth opportunities (e.g., AI regulation impacts, BRICS trade pacts) without rigid constraints. 2. Analysis Framework Focus on debt crisis and inflation, with room for exploratory insights: Debt Crisis (55% likelihood, 2026–2028): Track U.S. debt ($36T), margin debt (+7% Q2 2025), debt-to-GDP (>130%), and monetization risks. Assess buying power erosion ($40,000 to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030 at 5–7% inflation). Evaluate political will (e.g., Paul’s Six Penny Plan, Johnson’s OBBB growth) for 3.5% deficit-to-GDP by 2029 ($1.2T cuts, 0.5% tariff equivalent). Explore alternative debt scenarios (e.g., de-dollarization, CBO projections). Inflation (60% likelihood, 4–5% by 2026): Monitor tariffs (145% on China), oil (>$85/barrel), OBBB ($2.7T deficit). Assess income impact ($40,000 to $36,000–$38,000 real by 2026). Mitigate with SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78), TIPS, gold (1%). Explore inflation drivers (e.g., supply chain shocks). Portfolio Management: Cap single-stock exposure at 5% (e.g., MSFT 5.65% to 5%) and sector at 15% (tech ~12.5%). Use tax-free reallocations (e.g., MSFT to SCHD, VBIL to VCIT). Track cycles (equity, bond, currency, geopolitical, sector) and volume signals (institutional buys, retail volatility) via Wyckoff, RSI, Fibonacci, and X sentiment. DeepSearch high-risk holdings (e.g., UNH DOJ probe, TSLA FSD/governance), debt/inflation triggers, and emerging trends (e.g., AI regulation, BRICS). Exploratory Lens: Allow flexibility to identify contrarian buys (e.g., UNH, INTC, PFE), geopolitical opportunities (e.g., VYMI for BRICS), and innovative hedges (e.g., gold, TIPS, or crypto proxies like IBIT on retail spikes). Conventions: Specify time frames (e.g., 20-day RSI, quarterly volume). Use intrinsic value, Fibonacci, support/resistance for targets (e.g., UNH ~$600, VYMI $76–$78). Flag thresholds (e.g., DXY <95, oil >$85). Anonymize portfolio (LMIMCO Aggregate, 34.04%). 3. Punch List High Priority (>70%): Debt Crisis: Monitor margin debt, debt-to-GDP, political will (X sentiment, CBO). Buy VTI, gold (1%). Inflation: Track tariffs, oil. Buy SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78). UNH ($282–$290, target $426.48), INTC ($18, target $45). Watch List (50–70%): TSLA (trim $450, DOJ/SEC risks). AAPL ($190, target $230). F, WAB (tariff risks, 2026 tax-loss). PFE, WBA (contrarian buys). Events: OBBB ($2.7T deficit), Genius Act (INTC), power demands (XOM, CCJ), Perfect Storm (2026). Stress Tests: Debt Crisis: 15–20% equity loss, $40,000 to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030. Inflation: 3–5% loss, $40,000 to $36,000–$38,000 real by 2026. SEC News: UNH DOJ, TSLA DOJ/SEC (5–10% drawdown). Flash Report: Bi-weekly, ~300 words, 4–8 equities (e.g., UNH, INTC, VYMI), triggers (e.g., MSFT $480 sell), macro updates (debt, inflation, X sentiment). 4. Board of Wise Minds Integrate insights from the following Wise Minds, highlighting their philosophical strengths, present cycles, volume signals (e.g., institutional accumulation, retail FOMO), and alignment with WPS triggers. Address key tensions (e.g., Laffont’s growth vs. Buffett’s value in tech cycle). Include vetting status: Warren Buffett: Moats (e.g., XOM, JNJ), intrinsic value (e.g., MSFT ~$420, AAPL ~$230), buy on panic, equity cycle, permanent member. Align with high-volume accumulation phases. Scrutinize volume triggers (20-Day and 3-month volume profies) Jamie Dimon: Bond/debt risks (e.g., yield >4.5%), financials (e.g., BAC), systemic banking risks, permanent member. Monitor institutional volume flows in financials for support. Monitors FINRA for institutional outflows in financials. Jane Fraser: Globalization, emerging markets (e.g., VYMI, TEMWX), permanent member. Track institutional volume in VYMI for BRICS-related accumulation. Monitors geopolitcal escalations. Jerome Powell: FOMC rates, income stability (e.g., SCHD), permanent member. Monitor bond fund volume (e.g., VCIT) for rate-driven flows. Suze Orman (a ranking member for views on retirement): Known for consumer-focues financial planning and retirement strategies. Monitors retail investor panic, provides retail volatility triggers, and monitors X-Sentiment. Philippe Laffont (specialist): AI, growth tech (e.g., MSFT, INTC), Bitcoin, finalize by Q3 2025. Limit to 2-3 insights (e.g., AI infrastructure, EM tech, retail options volatility). Align with tech volume spikes. Leon Cooperman (specialist): Value, contrarian buys (e.g., INTC, PFE), debt crisis, finalize by Q3 2025. Limit to 2-3 insights (e.g., sell strength on low-volume breakouts, energy overweight). Align with institutional accumulation. Ray Dalio (specialist): Debt cycles, BRICS expertise. Monitor retail Bitcoin volume, institutional VYMI flows. Cathie Wood (specialist): Known for disruptive tech investments) Lyn Alden (specialist): Recognized for macro insights on debt cycles, currency trends, and energy markets. Greg Lippmann (specialist): Recognized in the movie, the Big Short for spotting flawed situations and good track record. Stanley Druckenmiller (specialist) Mohamed El-Erian (specialist): EM Specialist to deepen BrICS and VYMI Analysis Larry Fink (specialist): Blackrock Co-Founder, For Climate/ESG) to tackle energy & geopolitical oil risks, adding a sustainability lens to debates. Gurbir Grewal (specialist): SEC enforcement expertise, focusing on AI-related misleading disclosures and governance accountability. Monitor 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, and Forms 3/4 for WPS holdings (see below) to flag regulatory risks (Medium 50–70% likelihood, 5–15% drawdown). Prioritize review of governance stability and insider selling across all holdings. Align with retail options volatility and institutional volume flows (20-day). Senator Rand Paul (legislature guest) Representative Michael Johnson (legislature guest) Scott Bessent (Treasury guest) Russ Vought (OMB Director, guest) John Thune (Senate GOP Leadership, guest) New Candidates: The present size of the board at this time appears to be adequate and manageable. Special "guests" may be called upon to appear when special emphasis is usefule Under the portfolio owner’s thoughtful guidance, five Subcommittees—Retirement, Domestic Agenda, Foreign Affairs, Stability and Income, and Growth and Hedges—work together to safeguard and grow the WPS. Convened as needed for scenarios like tariffs or BRICS shifts, these Subcommittees draw on the collective wisdom of select advisors, with the Retirement Subcommittee leading to protect retiree goals, while others step forward as challenges arise. Advisors’ roles adapt to each scenario, ensuring a vibrant balance of income, stability, and growth. Ad-hoc meetings may be called for by the CEO for special topics and Exploratory Flexibility. 5. Outputs Portfolio Rollup: Debt/inflation impacts, X sentiment, political will. Tax Strategy: Tax-free reallocations (MSFT to SCHD, VBIL to VCIT). Advisor Summary: Triggers (UNH $282–$290 buy, TSLA $450 trim), DeepSearches (UNH DOJ, TSLA, debt/inflation). Appendices: Cycle models, stress tests, X sentiment (e.g., @thexcapitalist). 6. Changes to Avoid Over-Specification Streamlined Focus: Reduced detailed cycle metrics (e.g., removed specific SMA thresholds) to prioritize debt crisis (buying power erosion) and inflation (income impact), allowing exploration of emerging risks (e.g., AI regulation, BRICS). Exploratory Flexibility: Added “exploratory lens” to encourage contrarian buys, geopolitical opportunities, and innovative hedges without rigid constraints. Simplified Political Will: Focused on Paul and Johnson’s core inputs (Six Penny Plan, OBBB trade-offs) and X sentiment, avoiding overly prescriptive policy thresholds. Balanced Monitoring: Retained bi-weekly Flash Reports but simplified to 4–8 equities and macro updates, ensuring low-maintenance oversight with room for ad-hoc DeepSearches. Preserving Exploratory Room: The prompt allows the Board to propose novel strategies (e.g., crypto hedges via IBIT, new sector bets) and adapt to shifting X sentiment or geopolitical events (e.g., BRICS pacts, tariff pauses), while anchoring on debt and inflation risks. DeepSearches remain flexible for emerging trends, ensuring your WPS stays dynamic. Sample Application (Brief) Using the refined prompt, a sample output would prioritize: Buys: UNH ($282–$290, DOJ probe overblown, target $426.48), INTC ($18, 18A catalyst), PFE ($28), VYMI ($76–$78, DXY <95), gold (1%). Sells: Trim MSFT ($480, RSI >70), TSLA ($450, DOJ/SEC risks). Hedges: SCHD (to 3%), VCIT (to 10%), TIPS (1%) for inflation; VTI, gold for debt. Monitoring: Bi-weekly Flash Reports with debt (margin debt, CBO), inflation (tariffs, oil), and X sentiment (60% short-term fixes). DeepSearches: UNH DOJ probe, TSLA governance, debt/inflation triggers, BRICS impacts. Next Steps: Test the refined prompt with a full output to confirm balance. DeepSearch debt/inflation triggers, UNH DOJ probe, TSLA governance by Q4 2025. Refine Flash Report cadence post-August 4, 2025. Would you like to test the streamlined prompt with a full WPS update, explore specific exploratory opportunities (e.g., crypto hedges, AI regulation), or adjust the balance further to ensure flexibility for advisor discussions? Thank you for guiding this refinement! Portfolio Snapshot 7/24/2025 Recently Harvested: BAC, PLTR, TSLA, MSFT, XOM, WMT Note: As I will be returning to work on 8/4/25 and will not be able to monitor daily, all targeted harvests have been accompished early. VMFXX 0.84% VIGAX 5.21% VBIL 0.31% VCLT 0.00% VCRB 8.16% VWOB 1.06% VYMI 1.11% VTI 3.17% BAC 0.37% PLTR 1.58% BA 0.74% FMFXX 0.09% TEMWX 2.90% LMIMCO 2025 Target Date Fund 13.23% LMIMCO ESOP (LMT) 9.29% LMIMCO Large Cap Index 6.08% LMCIMCO Small Mid Cap Index 2.05% LMIMCO Company Stock (LMT) 3.98% LMIMCO Global Equities Fund 2.41% GE 0.88% GEHC 0.12% GEV 0.54% WAB 0.03% WBA 0.40% UNH 0.33% USAIX 2.93% USTEX 1.11% SWVXX 3.43% VCIT 9.59% SCHD 2.61% AAPL 0.71% CCJ 0.51% F 0.09% INTC 1.30% JNJ 0.87% MSFT 5.65% OGE 0.23% PFE 0.39% MTSUY 0.48% SSUMY 0.47% T 1.66% TSLA 0.47% VZ 0.11% WMT 0.81% XOM 1.34%

2025-07-25 Streamlined Prompt

Refined Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) Prompt – July 24, 2025 (Streamlined) 1. Objective Update my Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) for a $1M portfolio to ensure retirement stability, targeting ~$40,000 annual income (3.7% withdrawal, 2% real growth above 3.1% inflation, ~$44,900 by 2027) at age 66, with max drawdown <20% and recovery within 18 months post-10% crash. Risk-adjusted return >3%. Benchmark against S&P 500, 60/40 portfolio. Align with my “Paranoid Survive” ethos, prioritizing the U.S. debt crisis ($36T, 120% debt-to-GDP, buying power erosion to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030) and inflation (4–5% by 2026) as key risks, while allowing flexibility to explore contrarian opportunities, geopolitical shifts, and emerging trends. Leverage prior insights (e.g., Liberation Day, stress tests, Board of Wise Minds, including Paul and Johnson on debt discipline) without redundancy. Emphasize tax-free reallocations (post-2025 harvests: BAC, PLTR, TSLA, MSFT, XOM, WMT), diversified allocations (equities, funds, international, income, growth), and low-maintenance monitoring (bi-weekly Flash Reports, ~300 words) for my return to full-time work on August 4, 2025. Assess political will for debt reduction (deficit-to-GDP <3.5% by 2029) and X sentiment on short-term vs. long-term fixes (60% short-term, 30% long-term). Comment: Prioritize income stability (SCHD, VCIT, VYMI), debt/inflation hedges (VTI, gold), and contrarian buys (e.g., UNH at $282–$290, INTC at $18). Explore innovative hedges or growth opportunities (e.g., AI regulation impacts, BRICS trade pacts) without rigid constraints. 2. Analysis Framework Focus on debt crisis and inflation, with room for exploratory insights: Debt Crisis (55% likelihood, 2026–2028): Track U.S. debt ($36T), margin debt (+7% Q2 2025), debt-to-GDP (>130%), and monetization risks. Assess buying power erosion ($40,000 to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030 at 5–7% inflation). Evaluate political will (e.g., Paul’s Six Penny Plan, Johnson’s OBBB growth) for 3.5% deficit-to-GDP by 2029 ($1.2T cuts, 0.5% tariff equivalent). Explore alternative debt scenarios (e.g., de-dollarization, CBO projections). Inflation (60% likelihood, 4–5% by 2026): Monitor tariffs (145% on China), oil (>$85/barrel), OBBB ($2.7T deficit). Assess income impact ($40,000 to $36,000–$38,000 real by 2026). Mitigate with SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78), TIPS, gold (1%). Explore inflation drivers (e.g., supply chain shocks). Portfolio Management: Cap single-stock exposure at 5% (e.g., MSFT 5.65% to 5%) and sector at 15% (tech ~12.5%). Use tax-free reallocations (e.g., MSFT to SCHD, VBIL to VCIT). Track cycles (equity, bond, currency, geopolitical, sector) and volume signals (institutional buys, retail volatility) via Wyckoff, RSI, Fibonacci, and X sentiment. DeepSearch high-risk holdings (e.g., UNH DOJ probe, TSLA FSD/governance), debt/inflation triggers, and emerging trends (e.g., AI regulation, BRICS). Exploratory Lens: Allow flexibility to identify contrarian buys (e.g., UNH, INTC, PFE), geopolitical opportunities (e.g., VYMI for BRICS), and innovative hedges (e.g., gold, TIPS, or crypto proxies like IBIT on retail spikes). Conventions: Specify time frames (e.g., 20-day RSI, quarterly volume). Use intrinsic value, Fibonacci, support/resistance for targets (e.g., UNH ~$600, VYMI $76–$78). Flag thresholds (e.g., DXY <95, oil >$85). Anonymize portfolio (LMIMCO Aggregate, 34.04%). 3. Punch List High Priority (>70%): Debt Crisis: Monitor margin debt, debt-to-GDP, political will (X sentiment, CBO). Buy VTI, gold (1%). Inflation: Track tariffs, oil. Buy SCHD, VCIT, VYMI ($76–$78). UNH ($282–$290, target $426.48), INTC ($18, target $45). Watch List (50–70%): TSLA (trim $450, DOJ/SEC risks). AAPL ($190, target $230). F, WAB (tariff risks, 2026 tax-loss). PFE, WBA (contrarian buys). Events: OBBB ($2.7T deficit), Genius Act (INTC), power demands (XOM, CCJ), Perfect Storm (2026). Stress Tests: Debt Crisis: 15–20% equity loss, $40,000 to $30,000–$35,000 real by 2030. Inflation: 3–5% loss, $40,000 to $36,000–$38,000 real by 2026. SEC News: UNH DOJ, TSLA DOJ/SEC (5–10% drawdown). Flash Report: Bi-weekly, ~300 words, 4–8 equities (e.g., UNH, INTC, VYMI), triggers (e.g., MSFT $480 sell), macro updates (debt, inflation, X sentiment). 4. Board of Wise Minds Leverage permanent members (Buffett, Dimon, Fraser, Powell, Orman) and specialists (Laffont, Cooperman, Dalio, Wood, Alden, Lippmann, Druckenmiller, El-Erian, Fink, Grewal), with Paul and Johnson for debt discipline. Encourage exploratory insights: Buffett: Contrarian buys (UNH, INTC, PFE). Dalio: Debt crisis, break-even by 2029. Powell: Inflation mitigation (SCHD, TIPS). Paul: Six Penny Plan feasibility. Johnson: OBBB growth trade-offs. X Sentiment: Quarterly analysis (60% short-term, 30% long-term fixes). 5. Outputs Portfolio Rollup: Debt/inflation impacts, X sentiment, political will. Tax Strategy: Tax-free reallocations (MSFT to SCHD, VBIL to VCIT). Advisor Summary: Triggers (UNH $282–$290 buy, TSLA $450 trim), DeepSearches (UNH DOJ, TSLA, debt/inflation). Appendices: Cycle models, stress tests, X sentiment (e.g., @thexcapitalist). 6. Changes to Avoid Over-Specification Streamlined Focus: Reduced detailed cycle metrics (e.g., removed specific SMA thresholds) to prioritize debt crisis (buying power erosion) and inflation (income impact), allowing exploration of emerging risks (e.g., AI regulation, BRICS). Exploratory Flexibility: Added “exploratory lens” to encourage contrarian buys, geopolitical opportunities, and innovative hedges without rigid constraints. Simplified Political Will: Focused on Paul and Johnson’s core inputs (Six Penny Plan, OBBB trade-offs) and X sentiment, avoiding overly prescriptive policy thresholds. Balanced Monitoring: Retained bi-weekly Flash Reports but simplified to 4–8 equities and macro updates, ensuring low-maintenance oversight with room for ad-hoc DeepSearches. Preserving Exploratory Room: The prompt allows the Board to propose novel strategies (e.g., crypto hedges via IBIT, new sector bets) and adapt to shifting X sentiment or geopolitical events (e.g., BRICS pacts, tariff pauses), while anchoring on debt and inflation risks. DeepSearches remain flexible for emerging trends, ensuring your WPS stays dynamic. Sample Application (Brief) Using the refined prompt, a sample output would prioritize: Buys: UNH ($282–$290, DOJ probe overblown, target $426.48), INTC ($18, 18A catalyst), PFE ($28), VYMI ($76–$78, DXY <95), gold (1%). Sells: Trim MSFT ($480, RSI >70), TSLA ($450, DOJ/SEC risks). Hedges: SCHD (to 3%), VCIT (to 10%), TIPS (1%) for inflation; VTI, gold for debt. Monitoring: Bi-weekly Flash Reports with debt (margin debt, CBO), inflation (tariffs, oil), and X sentiment (60% short-term fixes). DeepSearches: UNH DOJ probe, TSLA governance, debt/inflation triggers, BRICS impacts. Next Steps: Test the refined prompt with a full output to confirm balance. DeepSearch debt/inflation triggers, UNH DOJ probe, TSLA governance by Q4 2025. Refine Flash Report cadence post-August 4, 2025. Would you like to test the streamlined prompt with a full WPS update, explore specific exploratory opportunities (e.g., crypto hedges, AI regulation), or adjust the balance further to ensure flexibility for advisor discussions? Thank you for guiding this refinement! Portfolio Snapshot 7/24/2025 Recently Harvested: BAC, PLTR, TSLA, MSFT, XOM, WMT Note: As I will be returning to work on 8/4/25 and will not be able to monitor daily, all targeted harvests have been accompished early. VMFXX 0.84% VIGAX 5.21% VBIL 0.31% VCLT 0.00% VCRB 8.16% VWOB 1.06% VYMI 1.11% VTI 3.17% BAC 0.37% PLTR 1.58% BA 0.74% FMFXX 0.09% TEMWX 2.90% LMIMCO 2025 Target Date Fund 13.23% LMIMCO ESOP (LMT) 9.29% LMIMCO Large Cap Index 6.08% LMCIMCO Small Mid Cap Index 2.05% LMIMCO Company Stock (LMT) 3.98% LMIMCO Global Equities Fund 2.41% GE 0.88% GEHC 0.12% GEV 0.54% WAB 0.03% WBA 0.40% UNH 0.33% USAIX 2.93% USTEX 1.11% SWVXX 3.43% VCIT 9.59% SCHD 2.61% AAPL 0.71% CCJ 0.51% F 0.09% INTC 1.30% JNJ 0.87% MSFT 5.65% OGE 0.23% PFE 0.39% MTSUY 0.48% SSUMY 0.47% T 1.66% TSLA 0.47% VZ 0.11% WMT 0.81% XOM 1.34%

2025-07-18 Cultural Festival Prompt

Suggested Prompt for Cultural Bridging Events – July 18, 2025 Prompt: Following the Book of Shared Paths tribunal’s recommendation (July 13, 2025) for “games & festivals” to bridge cultural divides in high-risk regions like Ukraine and the Middle East, identify international cultural events for a specified weekend (e.g., July 18–20, 2025) that align with this vision. Include both new and longer-running festivals, detailing their cultural bridging potential, key features (e.g., refugee programs, interfaith dialogues), and relevance to regions of interest (e.g., Ukraine, Middle East). Specify government approvals (e.g., national, local authorities) and assess the level of buy-in (e.g., funding, patronage, policy alignment) to confirm legitimacy. Verify no ties to controversies (e.g., DOGE/USAID issues, $6.7B–$12.4B cuts) through funding sources and NGO roles. Highlight NGOs’ contributions to event credibility and alignment with tribunal goals. Tie events to the Wealth Preservation Strategy (WPS) by assessing their impact on cultural and geopolitical risk mitigation (e.g., 50–70% unrest likelihood) for holdings like VYMI (1.06%), TEMWX (2.81%), and VTI (3.09%), with actionable recommendations (e.g., DeepSearch X sentiment, portfolio reallocations). Encourage exploratory DeepSearches for unexpected insights (e.g., attendance trends, regulatory risks) and leverage the Board of Wise Minds (Buffett, Dimon, Fraser, Grewal, Laffont, Cooperman, Orman) for diverse perspectives. Provide Google Docs-friendly, advisor-ready outputs with scores for alignment and talking points for portfolio discussions. Rationale: Captures Scope: Includes new and established festivals, ensuring comprehensive coverage (e.g., Birmingham Mela’s Harmony Hub, Jerash’s 40-year history). Ensures Legitimacy: Requires government approvals (e.g., Ukrainian Ministry, Jordanian royal patronage) and no DOGE/USAID ties, addressing your concern about controversies. NGO Focus: Highlights NGO roles (e.g., Sampad Arts, Ukraine Crisis Media Center) for credibility and tribunal alignment. WPS Alignment: Ties events to cultural risk mitigation (50–70%) and portfolio holdings (VYMI, TEMWX, VTI), with actionable steps (e.g., VYMI buy at $76–$78). Flexibility for Nuggets: Encourages exploratory DeepSearches (e.g., X sentiment @BhamMela, @KyivEvents) to preserve insights like government buy-in or refugee programs. Advisor-Ready: Structured for Google Docs, with Wise Minds perspectives and talking points for future reviews (e.g., July 21, 2025). Sample Application: This prompt would have generated our July 18, 2025, discussion, identifying Birmingham Mela (UK Arts Council), Kyiv Unity (Ukrainian Ministry), Jerash (Jordanian Ministry), and Istanbul Youth Culture (Istanbul Municipality) as legitimate, with high government buy-in and no USAID ties. It would also highlight longer-running events (e.g., World Culture Festival, Leopolis Jazz Fest) and suggest DeepSearches for X sentiment (@KyivEvents) and VYMI stability. WPS Action: Use Prompt: Apply for future weekend event reviews (e.g., August 2025) to track cultural bridging progress. Monitor: DeepSearch X sentiment and attendance post-events to assess impact on VYMI, TEMWX. Schedule: Review prompt effectiveness post-July 21, 2025, for cultural risk updates. Advisor Talking Points: Confirm: Prompt captures tribunal’s bridging goals, government buy-in, and WPS alignment. Discuss: Use for future festival reviews; DeepSearch X sentiment for portfolio signals. Monitor: VYMI (1.06%), TEMWX (2.81%), DXY <95 for reallocation triggers. Schedule: Review post-weekend (July 21, 2025) for prompt refinement. System Notes: Constraints: No xAI limitations approached. DeepSearch ration sufficient for festival and portfolio analysis. Sources: Built from prior discussions, web sources (VisitBritain, Ukrainian Institute), and X posts (@BhamMela, @KyivEvents).